Lebanon Teeters on Brink of Economic Collapse, Hezbollah Waits to Be Its Savior
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- [Julie] Lebanon is still suffering
from the impact of this massive explosion
that ripped through theBeirut port last August.
The death and damageto the Lebanese capital
has devastated an alreadyfloundering economy
and could contributeto a potential takeover
by the terror group, Hezbollah.
- Lebanon is in a very, very dire straits.
The political arena is dysfunctional;
therefore, the statepractically is dysfunctional.
There's no budget.
Their unemployment is 40, 50, 60%.
Nobody really knows.
- [Julie] Skyrocketing food prices,
crippling fuel shortages,
and widespread power outages.
According to the World Bank,more than half the population
now lives under the poverty line.
- Actually, the whole statesinks into a situation
in which nothing works.
People are losing hope.
They don't know where tostart fixing the situation.
- [Julie] Lebanon's government resigned
as a result of theblast, and since October,
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri
has failed to form a new government.
In a recent visit to Lebanon,a US State Department official
called on Lebanese politiciansto end the bickering.
- And those who continueto obstruct progress
on the reform agendajeopardize their relationship
with the United States and our partners
and open themselves upto punitive actions.
And those who facilitate progress
can be assured of our strong support.
- [Julie] Decades ago,
Lebanon was an international destination.
Christians and Muslims got along,
while Beirut became known asthe Paris of the Middle East.
Hariri wants a cabinet of experts
who can begin lifting Lebanonout of its economic crisis
with a dream of past glory.
Other groups, including Hezbollah,
want another direction, whichcould make things even worse.
- Hezbollah's accumulation ofdangerous weapons, smuggling,
and other illicit and corrupt activities
undermine legitimate state institutions.
They rob the Lebanese the ability to build
a peaceful and prosperous country,
and it's Iran that is fueling
and financing this challenge to the state
and its distortion ofLebanese political life.
- [Julie] Middle East expertDr. Mordechai Kedar says
a complicating factoris the growing desire
for the army to step inand save the country.
The problem: Hezbollahis stronger than the army
and has its peoplethroughout the army's ranks
from top to bottom.
- An organization, which actuallyis a terror organization,
now many people expect thatHezbollah will take the country
in order to feed the people,in order to bring some remedy.
- [Julie] Kedar says inaddition to military power,
Hezbollah has become aneconomic power as well.
- Hezbollah is an economic empire
because Hezbollah hashundreds of companies
in Iraq, in Syria, andthey deal with everything,
with oil and infrastructureand construction
and transportation.
- [Julie] Ironically,Hezbollah gets the blame
for Lebanon's most recent decline.
- Hezbollah definitelybrought Lebanon to the abyss
and now everybody expectsHezbollah to save Lebanon
from falling into the abyss.
So, this is some kind of ambiguity,
but there is nobody whocan replace Hezbollah
and there is nobody whocan chase Hezbollah out.
- [Julie] But Professor Shaul Chorev
of the Haifa Maritime andPolicy Research Center
sees a possible ray of hope.
That's because of ongoing talksbetween Israel and Lebanon
over maritime boundaries.
Chorev believes an agreementbetween the two countries
could keep Hezbollah in check.
- When we'll reach such an agreement,
it will signal to theinternational companies,
who are dealing withexploration of gas fields
and development of gas fields,that this area is stable.
It will improve Lebanese condition
and it will signal the people in Lebanon
that confrontation with Israelis not giving them any edge.
- [Julie] Kedar, however,doesn't see much chance
of derailing Hezbollah,especially with Israel
as part of the solution.
- First of all, you haveto get rid of Hezbollah
and Hezbollah has a very powerful army.
You don't mess with such an army.
Secondly, don't forgetthat Israel once tried
to install new order in Lebanonin 1982 and Israel failed.
Today, it is much harder.
- [Julie] And Iran couldn't be happier.
- Hezbollah takes Lebanon over,
this is actually thefulfillment of an Iranian dream,
that their proxy will notonly be a military militia,
but it will also become a state,
and this is a major successfor the mullah regime in Iran.
- [Julie] And with more than150,000 Hezbollah rockets
aimed at Israel, such ascenario wouldn't be good
for the Jewish state either.
Julie Stahl, CBN News, Jerusalem.