- Let me put this in perspective.

- Sure.

- If this develops intotropical storm Fay,

it will be the quickest we'veever gotten to six storms.

On the other hand, those six storms

are the weakest on record.

So you're seeing a situation where

they're naming stormslike Dolly and Edward.

You probably never heard of them.

They lasted for 12 hours.

They named them out inthe middle of nowhere

and years gone by, thiswould have never happened.

Now, I'm not againstnaming these weak storms,

especially when they're comingin very close to the coast.

And as a matter of fact,this is another one

that's right in the WeatherBell high impact area

that we put out in Aprilright along the coast.

But the fact is that it is distorting

the overall history of the pattern.

And what I get antsywith is when people say

oh my gosh, this is asign of this and that.

Well, it's a sign stormsare getting weaker,

that they can't evendevelop into hurricanes.

But believe me, there's gonna be

a hurricane season this year

and it's gonna have some big implications.

My meteorology professor at Penn State

used to always say thereal hurricane season

starts August 15th, andI think you're gonna see

those African waves really rev up

and cause us problems later.

- And let's talk to that very point

about the hurricane season.

It is underway, as you mentioned.

Are there predictions for when and where

the first hurricane will hit?

- Well, we have highprobabilities of this.

We do more than just pick out

how many storms there are gonna be,

which by the way, every year we add

five more than what we think

because we know these things

are gonna get named the way they are.

But we think the area betweenHatteras and Brownsville

I'm especially worried about.

In addition, tropical storm Brenda 1960

came up the east coast and paved the way

a couple months later for Donna.

And we saw this happen withHenri, for instance in '85.

Then Gloria came.

So with the North Atlantic very warm

and the waters abovenormal around New England

and off New Jersey now, I'm concerned

all the way up in New England this year.

It's been a long time sincethat area has been hit,

but hurricane hits were legendary

back in the '30s, '40s, and '50s

in the northeast partof the United States,

and there's always concernthat's gonna return.

- Yeah, clearly I was not born back then

during the '20s, '30s, and '40s.

Real quickly on the other side of the US,

extreme heat is expected inArizona and across the West.

What do those weatherpatterns tell us, Joe?

- Well, this is again,sort of easy to see coming.

For those of you thatfollow us on Weather Bell

from spring we said it's gonna turn into

a very hot summer this year

because of the overall pattern

has a lot of resemblance,for instance, to 2005,

which was a big hurricane season.

This heat is gonna expand right into

the Midwest and Great Lakes.

I mean, those are the areasmay be cracking records.

Now, one of the things in the western part

of the United States isbecause we've cleaned

the air up so much, there'smore incoming radiation

and there's a dry climate.

Can get very, very warm out there

and even hotter than normal.

But over the past several years,

the reason for the warmth has been

more nighttime lows than daytime highs.

We can't compare to the 1930s.

I know neither of us were born.

We're getting to what real feels are now.

So basically, we're expecting this pattern

to lock in the rest of thesummer and on into fall.