- And joining us now to talk more
about how the virus isaffecting the economy
is financial expert, Dan Celia.
Dan, the Senate is having a hard time
passing this economic response bill.
What do you think should bethe government's priorities
to strengthen the economy?
- The government'spriority, Mark, has to be
getting this aid bill passedas quickly as possible
and it's going to have to be big.
It can not be cut.
It can not be reduced.
I know that there are politicians
that don't want to let this go to waste.
They can't fathom havinga trillion dollars
worth of a bill beingpassed without taking care
of their own interests sadly to say.
And it's gotta get done today.
It's not going to I don't think
but it's gotta get done today.
It's gotta get done asquickly as we possibly can.
We need to bring aid toAmerican corporations.
- Dan, the Federal Reserve is promising
to basically put as muchmoney into the economy
as necessary and startlending to small businesses.
How much will the Fed be able to help?
- The Fed is going tohelp an enormous amount
of stimulus, from a stimulus perspective.
They're probably gonnaend up putting four,
three to four trilliondollars easily into this
when it's all said and done.
Keep in mind, Mark, it ismuch more of a balance sheet
transaction which I don't like very much
but it is gonna be aninteresting thing to watch.
But they have to because of liquidity.
We've gotta keep money flowingthrough the financial system.
That's the Fed's joband they need to infuse
these dollars in dramatic fashion so that
free cash flow can movethrough the financial system.
Equity move and liquidity movethrough the financial sector.
- There are predictions of a20 or even 30% unemployment
rate and the worsteconomy since the 1930s,
at least in April through June.
Is that realistic, Dan?
- Yeah, it's realistic,Mark, as sad as it is to say.
We could easily see 20%is what I've been saying.
But it could go a lot higher.
It really depends on how prolonged this is
but we could see 20 to 30%.
But let me just emphasize,it's going to be short-lived.
It's not, I felt, I feelvery bad for all of those
including some fade presidents
that are comparing this to 2008.
This is nothing, nothing like 2008.
So I think that we've gottakeep things in perspective.
We could see a 30% unemployment rate
and literally in four months it could be
back down to seven or eight percent
or something very manageable.
- All right, Dan Celiawith Financial Issues.
Thank you, Dan.
Thanks for your insights.
We appreciate it as always.
- You're welcome, Mark.
Thanks for having me.