CBN New's Financial Editor Drew Parkhill Explains that the Economy is Feeling the Effects of the Preventative Measures Being Taken
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- Coronavirus is also hittingthe stock market hard,
and the economy withclosing across the country
of restaurants and many stores.
Our CBN News FinancialEditor Drew Parkhill
is here now with us to take a look
at the fallout from the virus,
so how much of this ishurting the economy?
Are we looking at another recession?
- Okay, first of all, what'sreally hurting the economy
is not so much the virus itself, Efrem,
it's the preventativemeasures being taken,
as Lorie was talking about,
to prevent the spread of the virus.
That's why you have restaurants,
or restaurants are beingtold to closed down
in some states by governors,you know, to prevent people
from spreading thedisease if they have it,
or even potentiallyspreading it and so forth,
so it's those kinds of thingsthat are hurting the economy
rather than, you know, somany people are getting sick
and calling out from work.
So that's number one.
Number two: could it actuallycreate the spread of a virus,
or could it actually create a recession?
Yeah, it's possible.
Is it likely?
If you consider a recession to be
two consecutive quarters ofdecline, it may not happen.
The Federal ReserveChairman, J Powell, said
he thinks that this current quarter
we could see things pullback, but then, you know,
once we get through this,if Dr. Fauci's right,
and if it's eight weeks orso, then in the next quarter,
things may rebound very quickly,
so it's really hard to sayif it's actually gonna be
a technical recession, it's very possible.
It's possible we have onenow, then we have a rebound,
and then a slowdown next year.
We'll just have to wait and see.
- We will have to wait and see.
Now, we did see the stock market futures
sell off sharply overnight
after the Federal Reserveannouncement; what happened?
- May people are afraid thatthey may have overreacted,
or that they look at, thatthe feds see something
that the stock market doesn't,
and so they're goin', "Oh my gosh!"
You know, we had a big rally Friday.
You can't keep that up forever,so a pullback was okay;
they're expected.
But there is some concernthat the Fed sees things
that others don't and thatthe situation is worse
than everybody else sees.
- Is there more downsideto come for the stocks?
- Could very well be.
I wouldn't expect itto be a whole lot more,
but we could go lowerthan what we have already,
but we're a lot closer tothe bottom than we had been.
I mean, we could gounder 20,000 on the Dow,
maybe into the 18,000s,
but I doubt seriouslywe'd go much below that.
It's possible; no guarantees.
- So what about the long-term?
- In the long-term,we'll get through this.
We got through World War I,we got through World War II,
we got through the Depression,we got through 9/11,
we got through the Crash of '87.
Yes, in the long-term,
you're gonna see the Dow go much higher.
In the short-term, it'sgonna be a bumpy ride.
- All right, thanks a lot, Drew.
Drew Parkhill, our financial editor.
Thank you so much for your perspective.
Want to remind you to stay with us
for the latest on the coronavirus
as we provide continuous updates
here on the CBN NewsChannel, and of course,
you can find even more at CBNNews.com.