Why Trading Curbs Kicked in Today as Stocks Plunged and What You Should Do About It
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- The oil market is plummeting right now,
that after Russia andSaudi Arabia failed to come
to an agreement to propup prices over concerns
that the coronavirus ishurting the global economy.
Bloomberg reports that RussianPresident Vladimir Putin
has pulled out of his coalition with OPEC
because he's angry withthe Trump administration
for using energy as apolitical and economic weapon
including US sanctions thathurt Russian oil projects.
Russia's coalition withOPEC also helps America's
shale oil industry andRussia's move to pull out
will hurt that industry.
Prices for US oil, westTexas crude falling
nearly 25% today to $31.50.
And joining us now is theNational Radio and TV host
of Financial Issues, Dan Celia.
Dan, thanks for joining us.
Stocks fell so sharply injust the first four minutes
today that the marketautomatically stopped trading
for 15 minutes and stockshave fallen almost 20%
from their highs.
What is your take on what WallStreet is thinking right now?
- Well, Wall Street is doing what they do
and they watch sellers.
And people are selling,people are in a panic.
Obviously the oil markets taking, it has,
it's playing a huge, huge part in this.
I think it's more rightnow the focus on oil
than it is the coronavirus.
Both of these things, in my opinion,
are what we would call black swan events
that were totally out of the blue.
They came out of nowhere,there was no analytics
that was gonna predicteither one of these.
One more of a geopoliticalevent, one obviously an unknown
of this virus so it is impacting markets.
The problem with the oil prices, Heather,
is that will create a muchgreater impact on the economy.
The coronavirus is certainlyhurting the economy now
as we're seeing with tourism and such,
and some of the travelindustry, but is it gonna do,
or not likely would do thedamage that an oil crisis might.
So that is a huge, hugeissue and that's something
we've gotta watch very closely
and that is what's pulling this down.
If the oil stocks continueto drop as a result
of a larger glut in oil globally,
then that is gonna hurtthe financial sector
at some point in time.
And the financial sectoris the largest piece
of our economy and we've gotta be
extremely concerned about that.
- Right, it's all movingso fast right now.
I wanna ask you, justpractically speaking,
you had told us, Ibelieve it was last week,
that long term investors will be fine.
What is your advice topeople who are watching
their portfolios right now?
- Yeah, I haven't changed that, Heather.
I believe that both ofthese events are transitory.
I think they're both temporary events.
Yes, the virus could gountil even September if,
that would be unfortunate, but it could.
I think the oil market hasgotta get straightened out
fairly quick because VladimirPutin, this is hurting them
far more than it's gonna hurt us.
They are already in a freefall in their economy,
they've been in a badway in their economy.
All they have is oil, it'stheir number one export.
They need it desperately,they need desperately
at least $60, $70 a barreland this is gonna really
hurt their economy.
This has to be short lived
unless they just wannago into a depression.
- All right, and we justhave about 30 seconds left,
but Bloomberg is reportingthe Trump administration
is working on measuresto blunt the fallout,
it could include a temporaryexpansion of paid sick leave,
possible help forcompanies facing disruption
from the outbreak, wouldthat make a difference?
- Yeah, it would make a difference.
It's gonna hurt, now it'sbeginning to hurt the economy
in a bigger way.
That will make a huge difference'cause it's gonna hurt
productivity, imports, exports, travel,
it's gonna hurt acrossa much broader sector
of the economy, not just the markets.
- All right, well we are out of time,
but Dan Celia, thanks for your insights,
we really appreciate it.
- You're welcome.